The Bellator 66 event scheduled for April 20th looks to have landed a Superfight with international repercussions in the Lightweight division. It is a rematch between former Bellator title holder Eddie Alvarez and Japanese lightweight Ace Shinya Aoki. Aoki made short work of Alvarez at the Dec 31st, 2008 K-1 Dynamite event, submitting Eddie with a heel hook in under 2 minutes. Aoki has won seven fights in a row against strong competition, and Alvarez is coming of a title reign ending loss to Michael Chandler, which snapped a seven fight win streak of his own. It is a matchup of basically the best two lightweights in the world that are not under the Zuffa umbrella. Tough pick on this one, as despite having lost the first bout, Alvarez is coming in at -200, with the comeback +150 on Aoki.
Take a look at what the world’s top MMA bookmaker, Nick Kalikas’s show MMA Oddsbreaker says about the fight.
With all due respect to Steve Joun at angrymarks.com, I am going to disagree with a few of his points. His website is excellent by the way, take alook at it when you get a chance and support them! Alvarez had been to Japan no less than 3 times prior to the Aoki fight, and he had competed there. Alvarez was not overwhelmed by the trip, and he certainly had not under scouted Aoki. He got beat by a very good, tricky fighter.
Shortly after that fight, Aoki’s reputation suffered a knock when he was taken out by veteran Hayato Sakurai in short order, and he had a flat performance or two. But he is also a guy who has broken bones on several occasions and fights with a mean streak.
It is difficult to say that Aoki has not improved as much as Alvarez since their first meeting. His last ten wins are over solid competition, and his one loss in the last two and a half years is to Gilbert Melendez.
So despite having a huge amount of respect for Eddie Alvarez, I am going to take the underdog Aoki on this one, and count on him to stay one step ahead. If Eddie shows me he has conquered beating a tall, tricky fighter, I will be happy, however.
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