This coming September 15th, Las Vegas, Nevada will host two ‘big time’ boxing events involving Saul Alvarez and Julio Cesar Chavez Jr as the headliners. Chavez is finally going to meet Argentinian Sergio Martinez, who has been the mandatory contender for his WBC Middleweight Title. Across town, Alvarez takes on Josesito Lopez, who wrote his ticket for this payday when he took out Victor Ortiz back in June.
The books have Alvarez as a prohibitive 15 to 1 favorite over the smaller Lopez, and this line is right on. Lopez is a tough guy with a lot of heart, and he was getting beat up by Ortiz before taking Ortiz out, but Alvarez is a lot more focused and mentally tough than Ortiz will ever be.
It almost seemed as if Ortiz gained respect for Lopez as the fight wore on, and he let him off the hook. Lopez will not catch a break like that from the relentless Alvarez, who must be looking at this as an easy fight before a potential massive payday against a Floyd Mayweather Jr type by the end of the year.
Chavez on the other hand, is the underdog, with most books sitting at between 2 to 1 and 3 to 1 in favor of Martinez.
Most experts I have talked to agree that Martinez, on a skill level and even when it comes to athleticism, is light years ahead of Chavez.
But Chavez has several factors in his favor. He will be bigger and longer than Martinez. Chavez will suck a lot of weight to make the limit, and likely he will hit the ring up to 25 lbs heavier than Martinez. He also has youth on his side, which should help him recover from the weight cut and may also help him in the later rounds.
This should be a great fight, while Alvarez-Lopez is not. The bottom line is Martinez, who is commonly thought to be technically one of the top 3 fighters in the world, will attempt to take out a bigger, younger opponent with technique, guile and guts. And a lot of people are betting he will do it, derailing the second coming of the Chavez Jr Mexican legend. We shall see….