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Cleveland Browns at Oakland Raiders – Free Week 4 Betting Pick

Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

The Cleveland Browns (+3) are heading west to take on the Oakland Raiders at Oakland Coliseum. This late afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 4:05 p.m. ET and FOX has the TV rights.

Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders Betting Preview

In this Sunday AFC game, Oakland is tabbed as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 3 points. The Browns are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Raiders are -140. This AFC matchup should provide several decent in-game betting opportunities, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 44.5 points.

The game’s over/under hasn’t changed after it was initially placed at 44.5. Having said that, the opening line was -1 so has recently moved down to -3.

The Browns are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) and have gained 0.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U mark of 1-2. The lackluster Raiders have lost 3.0 units this season. They’re 1-2 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-2.

The Browns have gone 1-1-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Raiders are 0-3 SU.

The Browns enter after a 21-17 win over the Jets in Week 3. The Browns defense allowed the Jets to run for 107 yards on 30 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. On the offense, the Browns completed 21-of-37 passes for 220 yards. Baker Mayfield went 17-for-23 for 201 yards while Tyrod Taylor completed four-of-14 for 19 yards. Carlos Hyde (98 rushing yards on 23 attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the running attack while Jarvis Landry (eight receptions, 103 yards) and Antonio Callaway (four catches, 20 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.

In Week 3, Miami knocked off this Oakland team by a score of 28-20. Derek Carr completed 27-of-39 passes for 345 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Marshawn Lynch (64 yards on 19 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game as Jordy Nelson (six receptions, 173 yards, one TD) and Jalen Richard (six catches, 59 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Cleveland has run the ball on 47.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oakland has an overall rush percentage of 42.5 percent. The Browns have produced 134 rush yards per game and have five scores on the ground this year. The Raiders are logging 99 rush yards per game and have three total rushing TDs.

Based on the early season results, it appears that the Browns should have an advantage in terms of RB efficiency, as their backfield has logged 4.1 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.7 YPC to opponents. The Raiders have registered 3.6 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 5.1 to opponents.

The Browns offensive scheme has averaged 221 yards in the air overall and has two passing TDs so far. The Raiders have recorded 312 pass yards per outing and also have two total pass scores.

Defensively, Cleveland has allowed opponents to run for an average of 109 yards and pass for 249 yards per game. The Oakland defense has allowed 265.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 116.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Browns are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.50 to opponents, while the Raiders have given up a whopping 8.94 ANY/A.

Offensively, Taylor has amassed 216 passing yards this season, and has completed 35 percent of his 54 attempts with one passing scores and one interception. He has a 1.91 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.12 over the past two outings.

Derek Carr has connected on 56-of-79 passes for 648 yards, one TD and five INTs for Oakland. His ANY/A sits at 5.06 for the year and 7.41 over his past two outings.

NFL Prediction: Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders

SU Winner – Browns, ATS Winner – Browns, O/U – Over

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Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Cleveland defense has three times as many sacks as Oakland this year (nine versus three).

Neither team has lost a fumble yet this season.

The Browns offense has created one pass play of 40 or more yards, while the Raiders have accounted for three such plays.

Both teams have allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Cleveland defense has given up three pass plays of 30+ yards while Oakland has yielded five such plays.

The Cleveland offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oakland has created zero such runs.

Both teams have allowed two rushing plays of 20 yards or more. The Browns have given up eight running plays of 10+ yards while the Raiders have given up 10 such plays.

Cleveland has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last two contests.

Oakland has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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