This weekend is the final MMA event under the name STRIKEFORCE, as Oklahoma City’s Chesapeake Energy Arena hosts the show this Saturday, January 12th. SF has cobbled together a card with as many solid names as they have left on contract, and the show is headlined by a welterweight title fight between Tarec Saffiedine and champion Nathan Marquardt. Josh Barnett, Daniel Cormier and Gegard Mousassi all add some appeal to the card, though two of the three are in massive squash matches that may not be worth betting. Let’s take a look at the card…
Below are the odds for the main card as they sit on fight week. As you can see, the Barnett and Cormier are both favored by over 15 to 1 against their fill in European opposition. Taking the underdog on the off chance they pull off a miracle upset, or risking big money to make next to nothing is not that appealing, so two of the biggest names on the card are not bettable.
Mousassi is a wide favorite over Mike Kyle as well, sitting at -550. Mousassi is a high skilled fighter who has won a lot of fights. Mousassi did take 2012 off, not fighting at all, so he will be coming off a long layoff, and Kyle will have a puncher’s chance.
Tarec Saffiedine +215
Nate Marquardt -275
Dion Staring +1050
Daniel Cormier -1750
Nandor Guelmino +850
Josh Barnett -1550
Mike Kyle +350
Gegard Mousasi -550
Ed Herman +265
Ronaldo Souza -365
Ed Herman at +265 as an underdog against Ronaldo ‘Jacare’ Souza may be worth a look as well. ‘Jacare’ is a former champion at SF and he is a tough tough guy with a very strong ground game. Herman is a hard nosed competitor who may be able to make a fight of it. Herman is going to need to be on top and not let himself be controlled like he did in his last outing, a lackluster performance against Jake Shields.
The undercard also has several interesting bouts featuring competitors you will probably see in the UFC at some point. Below are the odds, which at first glance don’t look very bettable:
Anthony Smith +210
Roger Gracie -280
Trevor Smith +300
Tim Kennedy -450
Ryan Couture +145
KJ Noons -175
Anthony Smith may provide a play as a live underdog against Roger Gracie, who will be taller and longer, and obviously has the advantages in a ground fight. Smith has a few TKO’s to his record, and Gracie has never really fully committed to MMA, fighting just 3 times since 2010. He also rolled over and died from a punch in his lone loss to ‘King’ Mo, so Smith will have a chance.
Once again management has lost an opportunity to advance the women’s divisions by not having a single women’s MMA bout on the card.
The card should be fun to watch, as management did get a good amount of talent on the card. Unfortunately, there is not a lot of bettable action on this card.