Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs Look to Continue Their Methodical Consistency

 Miami Heat vs. San Antonio Spurs: The Spurs Look to Continue Their Methodical Consistency

The Miami Heat are embarking on the second of three straight road games at the AT&T Center with the San Antonio Spurs in Game 4 of the 2013 NBA Finals. BetDSI Sportsbook current live lines display the Heat as a small favorite in this matchup.

There are some key trends that cannot be ignored here; never mind the fact that the Heat find themselves in desperation mode, seeking to avoid a potential elimination Game 5 on Sunday. The Heat are 19-6 SU in its last 25 games, and 21-4 SU in its last 25 games on the road. The Spurs have fared very well at home, as would be expected by a Finals team. The Spurs are 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home, and 17-8 SU in its last 25 games when facing Miami. And while the Spurs are 13-2 in its last 15 at home versus Miami (including 10-4-1 ATS), one glaring trend is the fact that the Spurs are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games against Miami.

The Spurs are coming off a resounding 36-point win in Game 3, where every shot that players like Gary Neal (24 Points) and Danny Green (27 Points) hoisted up seemed to drop. Basketball is a game of momentum, but it is very difficult for teams to follow up such a performance in back to back games. Tony Parker and Tim Duncan shot poorly, and Manu Ginobili continued his substandard play, which does not figure to continue into Game 4. Role players often make the difference in games like this, and the likelihood that either or both Neal and Green matching their Game 3 output is not on the side of the Spurs.

Meanwhile, Miami failed to score 80 points in the 113-77 loss in Game 3; including only 33 points in the 2nd half. LeBron James shot uncharacteristically poor (7-21 FG, 15 Points), while Game 2 hero Mario Chalmers went absent with an 0-5, 0 Point, 4 turnover, 4 foul effort. Dwyane Wade managed 15 Points (but on 15 shots) and Chris Bosh missed a number of open looks en route to a 4-10 FG, 12 Point game. The Heat got nothing else in the way of offense from its role players other than Mike Miller, who shot 5-5 (all from 3-Point Range) for 15 Points.

Betting Prediction:

With the desperation involved, seeking to avoid a 3-1 hole, and the likelihood that the Spurs will 16-32 from 3-Point Range again, along with the trends favoring Miami, it is a safe bet to take the Heat -1 in this Game 4 Finals matchup.

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