MLB Monday Pick – Atlanta Braves at Florida Marlins

Back-to-back winning selections off Tampa Bay easily thumping Oakland 8-4 on Friday has our season-long, running bankroll to +1000 with a 4-2 record since starting up this blog post after the All-Star Break (for the sake of money management and measures we will be using a $500 unit bet). Monday I am going to start the week off on the right with a Total play as the Atlanta Braves travel Florida to take on the Marlins with the first pitch set for 4:10 Pacific at Sun Life Stadium. BetDSI Sportsbook has opened the Total at 8.5 Over -115/Under -105.


Tonight’s starting pitchers are veteran righty Derek Lowe for the Braves and left-hand Brad Hand for the Marlins.


Brave Girls

Braves bats have been come alive and part of that is off-season acquisition 2B Dan Uggla finally busting out. Over their past five games, all on the road, Atlanta has tallied 6, 6, 7, 4, and 6 runs and I like their chances of putting up some decent number today as well. The Marlins starter Hand has been decent so far in limited action but he hasn’t been going deep in games at all. Prior to his most recent start at the Mets, the Florida starter had walked 20 batters in 23.2 innings pitched – control issues against the hot-hitting Braves will be trouble.


Atlanta starter Derek Lowe is a workhorse but he has faltered with a 6-10 record and 4.86 ERA this season. His recent form doesn’t give much hope as Lowe has given up a terrible 39 Earned Runs in 53.2 innings spanning his previous 10 starts. He comes into this one having lost 3 straight including coughing up 7 earned runs over just 4 complete innings at Washington last time out on the mound. In his career against Florida Lowe has posted a 4.79 ERA and has an ERA of 4.73 on the road this season.


The combination of the hot Braves bats and suspect starters on both sides has me all over the Total here. Atlanta Braves-Florida Marlins Over 8.5 -115 is my wager here at BetDSI Sportsbook.


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