MLB Tuesday Pick – Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres

We had our last play on the White Sox and Edwin Jackson rained out (though he did win in the same situation the following day) leaving the season-long, running bankroll still ‘even’ since starting up after the break. Tuesday I am firing on a Total in the National League West as the Los Angeles Dodgers visit the San Diego Padres at PETCO Parkin a late 7:05 Pacific start time. BetDSI Sportsbook has opened the line on the Total at 6 Over -115/Under -105, a low total yes, but indicative of the teams and pitchers going today.

 

With the two weak offenses in this game, two strong starters, and a home park inSan Diego that lends itself to low-scoring affairs, I will be pulling the trigger on the Under 6 -105 here today.

Dodgers starter Hiroki Kuroda toes the rubber for Los Angeles and he has been incredibly solid and consistent all year, actually he has been that way pretty much throughout his entire major league career. While his 6-13 won-loss mark this season is disappointing, his efforts are not. Kuroda boasts a solid 3.11 Earned Run Average on the year and over his past 10 starts the talented righty has allowed just 2 runs or fewer seven times. In his two starts this season versus the Padres, the Dodgers starter is 1-0 with a miniscule 1.15 ERA!

Mat Latos will get the ball for the Padres and while he hasn’t been great this season, he is still a very good pitcher. Latos hasn’t had the wins when facing the Dodgers, but his numbers have been great and that is all that concerns us. The big right-hander has a 2.70 career ERA against Los Angeles and limited the boys in blue to 1 run over 7 1/3 innings when he last faced them in July.

 

And a trend for those inclined to follow them, here for good measure but no surprise by any means, the Under is 24-6 in the past 30 meetings. Shocking, I know.

 

Take a look at the MLB season stats for Runs Scored and one has to scroll way way down to find these two sides – they sit 27th and 28th shamefully just above rock-bottom. The Padres are also second-to-last in team batting average. Nothing in the match-up has me believing that these two teams can combine for 7 or more runs so a wager on the Under 6 -105 is the way I will go here at BetDSI Sportsbook. While it is not much fun rooting for an Under, a win is a win and that’s what I expect in this spot.

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