With the UFC taking a break from their breakneck three shows a month schedule in March, Bellator has a chance to start their season 6 run with their 60th event this weekend without facing the UFC. MTV2 and SPIKETV.COM will be airing Bellator 60 tonite live from Hammond, Indiana. The main event features a Featherweight Title bout (145 lbs) as champion Joe Warren makes a title defense against Pat Curran. The event also features the opening round of a featherweight tournament that features Brazilian Marlon Sandro as the favorite going in. This is a chance for Bellator to show improvement in both talent and production without the immediate UFC comparison.
Take a look here at the line set for the Curran-Warren title defense - http://www.betdsi.com/live-lines/martial-arts/mma-bellator.
It is remarkable that Warren, the defending title holder at 145 lbs, is such a heavy underdog at +285, with Curran sitting as a heavy favorite at -355. But a look at all the data reveals that this line maybe right on.
Warren has been less than impressive in several of his recent outings, including his last fight where he was brutally KO’d in about a minute by Alexis Vila. Warren has a background in amateur wrestling, including a World Championship, and he has flirted with the idea of returning to compete in the Olympics.
Curran is 6-1 in his Bellator career, with his only loss in that run coming to Bellator poster boy Eddie Alvarez at 155 lbs. At the weigh ins, the size difference between Curran and Warren was noticeable.
Warren has been on record stating he is going to get the takedown over Curran, who he feels he has an athleticism advantage over. That may be the case but it is that cockiness and reliance on his core wrestling that may get him in trouble against a guy like Curran.
Curran is 16-4 and has been around MMA for a long time. One factor that occurs in Jiu Jitsu and MMA is that there are techniques that will overcome a superior athlete. In this particular case, Curran is not required to be Rickson Gracie, he just has to have a couple of tricks up his sleeve that Warren has not seen, and that should not be hard. Warren continues to display the arrogance of his successes in another sport, and he has not done enough to learn this one.
I am looking for Curran to finish this fight, and it will be in the title rounds, the 4th or the 5th. Care to bet on it? Join here - http://www.betdsi.eu/?cmpid=17378.