MMA Betting Predictions: UFC Fight Night 25 Jake Ellenberger vs Jake Shields


MMA Betting Predictions: UFC Fight Night 25 Jake Ellenberger vs Jake Shields



Saturday september 17th at UFC Fight Night 25 we will get to see Jake Ellenberger (24-5) try to give the highly regarded former Strikeforce welterweight champion Jake Shields (26-5) only his second loss in 8 years. sportsbook currently has Jake Shields as a -200 favorite.

Jake Ellengerger has been on a tear winning four in a row since losing to now top contender Carlos Conduit back in September of 2009. His most recent wins were against Mike Pyle (TKO punches) , John Howard (TKO Doctor Stoppage), Carlos Rocha (Split Decision), and most recent Sean Pearson (KO Punches). Ellenberger has heavy hands with tremendous power in both, he has great wrestling, ground and pound, and when he is standing swings for the fences.

“This is probably the least intimidating fight I’ve ever had, for sure,” Ellenberger said. “I’ve been wanting to fight (Shields) for the past four years, and now I’ll finally get my chance. I’ve really matured as a fighter, and it’s just my time.”



Jake Shields has had an amazing career and was only one round away from taking George St Pierre’s UFC welterweight title as the official scorecards had him losing the fight by only a single point. Before his loss to GSP Jake Shields has a who’s who list of people he has defeated in mixed martial arts. Holding victories over some huge names: Martin Kampann, Mike Pyle, Paul Daley, Jason Miller, Robbie Lawler, Paul Daley, Dan Henderson, and the list goes on. Ten of Shields wins have come via Submission, he has only ever been knocked out once in his career in his 3rd fight back in 2000, Shields has also never been submitted, if you do not take this man the distance and out work him you will simply not win.

Shields was not initially pleased ( and probably still isnt) about the UFC’s selection of his opponent Elenberger as he was quoted saying ” I fight whoever they tell me, but when they asked me (to fight) Ellenberger, my first reaction was I want to fight someone like B.J (Penn)  or (Jon) Fitch”  and while Ellenberger maybe a great opponent you can make a case that Shields has a legitimate beef. Ellenberger is not a huge household name , Jake Shields is used to fighting the best in the world and huge names. If Shields were to lose this one it crushes his dominant image ( I think he is hands down the best in the world at his weight class with exception to GSP) while a win does very little to boost that as people will clearly think this is a match he should easily win. Ellenberger will not be a minor bump in the road he can run over he is very tough and will show he deserved a fight against one of the best in the world.


My Prediction: Shields has recently lost his father who was also his manager on August 29th at age 67. Coming off his first loss in so many years and losing his father, I think he will come out highly motivated and put on a strong performance against the very tough and game fighter Jake Ellenberger. I do think this fight will go the distance with Shields controlling the fight on the ground with his superior wrestling and Jiu-Jitsu.

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