The Miami Dolphins 3-0 start could be the biggest surprise in the NFL season so far and their victory over the Atlanta Falcons in Week 3 has people wondering if they could be for real. They’ll have another test from the NFC South on Monday night as they visit another unbeaten team in the New Orleans Saints. The Saints are a touchdown favorite on the NFL betting lines.
Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints
Monday, September 30th – 8:20 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Superdome – New Orleans, LA
NFL Odds: Saints -7
Why The Dolphins Can Cover The Spread:
The Dolphins don’t have the best numbers in the NFL but they’re up in turnover margin by +2, so that has something to do with their 3-0 record. Ryan Tannehill is improving every game as an NFL quarterback, however, he has to avoid getting sacked. So far, he has been sacked 14 times in three games and that can’t happen against the Saints, who are aggressive under coordinator Rob Ryan. Defensively, the Dolphins have to get after Drew Brees, who will pick them apart if they give him time to go through his reads. At the Superdome, he usually controls everything that happens and they have to throw him off his rhythm – at least a little bit. Getting in the backfield would make him rush a little and give the Dolphins a chance.
Why The Saints Can Cover The Spread:
While the Saints’ defense has been getting most of the attention after allowing just 38 points through three games, they know they still have a pretty awesome offense to rely upon. They know they can always get into a shootout and win. With Brees at the wheel, they’re going to come out on top more often than not. Brees has been reunited with head coach Sean Payton and the two don’t look like they missed an entire season due to the “Bountygate” scandal that put Payton on the sidelines. The Saints continue to lean on Brees and the aerial attack because of a terrible ground game and he continues to deliver. If the defense plays even average, the Saints can cover against any team in the league.
These two have met just twice since 2005, with the Dolphins claiming a 21-6 victory in New Orleans then, and the Saints pulled out a 46-34 win in Miami four years later. Obviously, the higher that the score is, the more that favors the Saints, especially at home at the Superdome.
This is a huge game for both teams as the Dolphins are out to show they are for real, while the Saints can get a jump on the rest of the NFC South. The Saints have a lot of players that have been in these types of situations before, and the lights are bright on Monday Night Football. This is arguably the biggest game of Tannehill’s NFL career, and he is going up against one of the best quarterbacks in the game in Brees, who is also one of the top leaders in the NFL and his team (on both sides of the ball) will run through a wall for him. The Saints will roll and cover the NFL spread.
Pick: New Orleans -7