The UFC Fight Night 40 card scheduled for April 11th in Abu Dhabi will have a co-headliner featuring Featherweights Tatsuya Kawajiri and Clay Guida. GUida is in desperate need of a win, as he is 1-3 in his last 4 outings and it has been a long time since he put on one of his gritty, grinding performances that made him so popular a few years back. Kawajiri is riding a solid 6 fight winning streak that includes a submission win in his UFC debut. Kawajiri is a solid veteran who has tons of fights and has only lost to the very best throughout his career. At 35, you can ecxpect Kawajiri to come in focused for this, which is likely to be his last UFC run where he can still be relevant.
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Look for Kawajiri to be favored in the fight. Guida moved down to 145 lbs in an attempt to revitalize a career that had stalled at lightweight. Fighting Benson Henderson and Gray Maynard at Lightweight left him 0-2 and looking to change things up.
The problem for Guida is that it has not worked out that way for him. He has not been able to recapture the energy of his earlier days, and frankly he just looks burnt out.
Kawajiri has a lot of mileage on him as well, but he is a solid professional who has to be intrigued by the potential for a title shot at Featherweight, especially if Jose Aldo moves up to Lightweight soon and vacates the title.
This is basically a wrestler versus wrestler match-up so it is likely to stay up on it’s feet with the two men exchanging. Guida may be able to not get taken down by Kawajiri, but he will not be able to get top position on the veteran, so if it goes to the ground look for Kawajiri on top. Kawajiri will be looknig to finish, but the fight sould end with a 3 round stand up with some GnP thrown in, leading to a Kawajiri UD.