The Denver Broncos have scored 127 points en route to a 3-0 start and they’ll look to make it 4-0 when they host the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday. They the biggest favorite of the week on the NFL betting lines.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Denver Broncos
Sunday, September 29th – 4:25 PM ET
Sports Authority Field at Mile High – Denver, CO
NFL Odds: Broncos -11
Why The Eagles Can Cover The Spread:
The Eagles lead the NFL in rushing yards per game with 209.0, and if they’re going to cover this double-digit spread, they’ll have to hold onto the ball and keep Peyton Manning off the field. However, Chip Kelly’s offense is predicated on being fast, and he wants to play faster; he’ll have to make some concessions, because while Philadelphia can score points, they’re not very efficient and definitely not as efficient as Denver. They’ll also have to get some pressure on Manning, who is without left tackle Ryan Clady. If you give Manning time, he will absolutely pick you apart. This will be the most likely route to an upset for the Eagles, because Kelly probably won’t slow down his offense.
Why The Broncos Can Cover The Spread:
Manning has been lethal to start the season, completing 73% of his pass attempts with 12 touchdowns and no interceptions. He leads the NFL in quarterback rating, touchdowns, yards and completion percentage; it isn’t even fair how well he has been playing so far this season. The Broncos have shown that they can put up as many points as they want, and there isn’t much that the Eagles will be able to do about it. Philadelphia is 29th in the NFL in passing yards allowed, and that should have Manning licking his chops, provided that the Broncos can keep him upright and slow down the Eagles’ pass rush.
The Broncos have covered their last three meetings with the Eagles since 1998, two of which were in Denver. All three of those meetings also went over the posted total, and given the way these teams play (high-octane offense, not a lot of defense), the odds of the two going over the total of 57.5 isn’t out of the question at all. If the Eagles want to get into a shootout with the Broncos, both teams hitting the 30-point mark could very well happen.
This also wouldn’t be smart for the Eagles, because as fast as they play, they have also turned the ball over seven times in three games, and Michael Vick spends most of the night running for his life. The Broncos have six interceptions on the season and turnovers will probably be the difference, because the Eagles just aren’t as efficient as Manning and the Broncos. They can keep up with the Broncos if they don’t turn the ball over, but how likely is that to happen? The way Manning is humming right now, it is going to be tough for the Eagles, especially in Denver, where the Broncos have been almost perfect. This goes to the Broncos both straight up and on the NFL spread.
Pick: Denver -11