The Indianapolis Colts did not look very much like a playoff team after the first two weeks of the season, but they have steadily turned around their season and now appear to be the best team in their own division. Can the San Diego Chargers rebound from a horrible game in week five and topple the Colts in week six? This is an NFL betting game between two teams heading in different directions, but the ray of hope for the Chargers is that things can and do change quickly in the NFL.
Indianapolis Colts @ San Diego Chargers
Monday, October 14th – 8:30 PM ET
Qualcomm Stadium – San Diego, CA
NFL Odds: Colts -1
Why The Colts Can Cover The Spread:
They should be able to throw the ball on San Diego’s defense. Indianapolis quarterback Andrew Luck is playing at a very high level right now, better than he did last season. The key point to realize with respect to Luck is that he surrendered a lot of interceptions in 2012. This year, he’s being more careful with the ball, and his team is benefiting as a result. Last season, Luck threw 18 picks, but through the first five games of the 2013 season, he has tossed a total of only two interceptions, a pace that – if continued – will lead to no more than seven interceptions throughout the entirety of the current season. This would make Indianapolis a realistic contender in the AFC, a team that would very likely win a division in which the Colts’ foremost competitors – Tennessee and Houston – have problems at the quarterback spot for different reasons. (Tennessee’s starting quarterback is injured, and Houston’s quarterback is facing a crisis of confidence.) Luck should be able to handle the spotlight of Monday Night Football. More specifically, he should be able to handle a San Diego defense that make Oakland Raider quarterback Terrelle Pryor look very good last Sunday night. Luck just took down the Seattle Seahawks and their very formidable defense this past weekend. San Diego is not likely to challenge Luck to an even greater degree. The Colts’ offense should have all the answers it needs in order to win this game.
Why The Chargers Can Cover The Spread:
Their team plays better at home than on the road. The Chargers are 1-2 on the road and 1-1 at home, but that really doesn’t tell the whole story. The Bolts lost to the Oakland Raiders away from home yet – in their lone home loss of the season – outplayed the Houston Texans most of the way before faltering in the final 10 minutes of regulation. San Diego plays with a much more positive and settled mindset at home. Quarterback Philip Rivers – no longer coached by Norv Turner – has improved his mechanics and regained a substantial measure of confidence. If Rivers is on target in this game and is distributing the ball to his full complement of receivers, the Chargers’ offense will become both potent and unpredictable. Indianapolis did just defeat Seattle, but that was a taxing and draining event. The Colts must now make a cross-country commute and recharge their minds for this game. San Diego will be irritated after playing so poorly against Oakland. The Chargers should be more motivated for this game.
The Chargers have a very good shot to beat the Colts and cover the NFL spread but the sense here is that Andrew Luck will continue to play at a very high level, and if he does, Indianapolis is very likely to win.
Pick: Indianapolis -1