The bye weeks are winding down but this week Carolina, Detroit, Jacksonville and Minnesota are all out of the wagering equation.
Another winning week in the books as last weekend we went 2-1 on the three free picks Sunday. Add our college football winner and it was a tidy 3-1 weekend.
Remember that Indianapolis +7 at home to Atlanta qualifies under our “0-4 Home Dog System” this week.
10:00 AM Pacific: New York Jets (44) at Buffalo Bills (-2) at Ralph Wilson Stadium
If the Jets win this game and New England falls to the Giants (more on that below), the New York Jets would be in a 3-way tie for first place in the AFC East division. Considering that the Jets were basically tossed aside after a 2-3 start, that’s quite an impressive possibility for the Rex Ryan crew. I really like the momentum the NY Jets have and particularly like how they match up in this game. Buffalo has Mr. Everything RB Fred Jackson who runs and catches the ball as well as any running back in the league, but beyond that they are a good team getting great results. I think the Jets defense, with their outstanding pass coverage, will pin their ears back and come flying after Bills QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, trying to force him to beat their defensive backs. Look for a balanced rush-pass attack from New York and QB Mark Sanchez to play solid in a Jets win.
My wager is on the New York Jets +2
1:15 PM Pacific: New York Giants (51) at New England Patriots (-8.5) at Gillette Stadium
I have a hard time resisting the NY Giants +8.5 here and, in the end, I won’t resist. The Giants are a good football team and they lead a tough NFC East division with a 5-2 record, the same mark that the Patriots bring into this game. Surely New England has been impressive in their wins, but they were picked apart last week as Pittsburgh executed a great game plan. Giants get good pressure on the quarterback and are a solid team against the pass. Where New York may be a bit vulnerable, against the run, is not a strong suit for New England. Giants RB Bradshaw may miss but the RB combination of Jacobs and Ware combined account for what Bradshaw does. QB Eli Manning has been huge this season for the Giants and has a ton of talent at his disposal. Manning’s success plus the Patriots allowing yardage in chunks spells a high scoring game where either team wins.
I’ll bet the Giants and take the +8.5 points
Teaser Time: New Orleans Saints -2.5, Cincinnati Bengals +10, Philadelphia Eagles -1.5
While I am typically not much of a favorite bettor I do tend to like some favorites as part of my teaser mix when I am comfortable that they will win outright. New Orleans has lost 2 of 3, getting blind-sided by the winless St. Louis Rams last week and losing at Tampa Bay in Week 6. I look for the Saints to bounce back here and even the season series with Tampa Bay by getting the home win. Cincinnati Bengals are on a 4-game winning streak and just might make it 5 with an outright win at Tennessee so the points are a bonus. Titans are struggling on offense with a lack of depth at WR and under-performing RB Chris Johnson. Bengals defense is stout and they move the ball well with a steady balanced attack. Eagles are looking like a much better team having won twice in a row and RB LeSean McCoy playing outstanding. Philadelphia simply has too many weapons for Chicago to handle.
Three Team 6.5-Point Teaser +160: New Orleans Saints -2.5, Cincinnati Bengals +10, Philadelphia Eagles -1.5