UFC 134 Rio Betting Predictions: Forrest Griffin vs Mauricio Rua
This Saturday August 27th, we will watch what arguably could be the most difficult matchup to predict on the whole UFC 134 card. A rematch between two former UFC light heavyweight champions Forrest Griffin (18-6) and Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (19-5) who BetDSI.eu currently has as a -225 favorite in this light heavyweight bout. This being a rematch it is still a tough one to predict as the two fighters are so far removed from their last fight. I believe wagers will be placed heavily on both fighters as they are immensly popular, when this match-up is being announced you will probably notice a higher level of intensity filling the arena, your living-room, or local sports bar in anticipation for what should be a down right awesome matchup.
Former lightheavyweight champion Forrest Griffin has fought the best in the world some of which more than once, and has more notable wins and accomplishments than I could even begin to type out in this prediction (same could be said for his opponent). In Griffin’s two most recent outings has defeated former light heavyweight champion Tito Ortiz (split decision) and former middleweight champ Rich Franklin (unanimous decision). Forrest Griffin is always a huge favorite with the fans, it will be interesting to see how the crowd reacts to him in Brazil, where he will be fighting a hometown Brazilian legend in Mauricio “Shogun” Rua.
Forrest Griffin holds a win over Shogun back in 2007 where he clearly dominated Rua throughout the match earning a submission victory via rear naked choke at 4:45 in the third round to also win submision of the night honors. Shogun is by no means the same fighter as he was a few years ago as he is vastly improved, but does a loss where you were soundly beaten by the guy you are to face next linger in your head? If so is this a good or a bad thing?
One fight removed from losing his light heavyweight title that he failed to successfully defend against Jon “Bones” Jones, Shogun just a few months ago was lightheavy weight champion and in the top #10 lb for lb fighter in the world rankings by any sane sports or MMA journalist. Lets look at his last three fights. Even though losing his first fight against lightheavy weight champion of the time Lyoto Machida it was extremely controversial with Shogun landing more and cleaner shots on “The Dragon” being the first to display that Machida was beatable. In Shogun’s immediate rematch with Machida he knocked Machida out in just 3:35 of the first round with a nasty right followed by a few blows on the ground becoming the UFC’s new lightheavy weight champion.
Shogun then went on to have surgery on his knee from an injury he sustained in his victory over Machida. He was out of action from October to heal from surgery, and did not return all the way till March. Upon return was scheduled to fight former champ Rashaad Evans who ended up injuring his knee in practice making him unable to fight for the championship. Searching for a replacement for Evans the UFC presented the offer to Quinton “Rampage” Jackson who declined the fight due to only having six weeks which he did not believe was long enough for him to make weight.
This left the title shot to be granted to Jon “Bones” Jones who dominated Rua crunching him with a flying knee to the head just a few seconds into the first round. Rua later stated that knee by Jones affected him the whole fight. With a loss coming to such a phenom as Jon Jones and with possibly a good amount of ring rust from such a lay off it is easy to think Shogun could work his way back up to a title shot in the near future.
I really do think Mauricio “Shogun” Rua is going to win this fight. However when was the last time you seen someone win their last two matches both against former champions, and also beating his opponent in they’re last match end up as a generous +185 BetDSI.eu betting line as Forrest Griffin is ?