The UFC 150, scheduled for August 11th in Denver Colorado, features a 155 lb title match between current champion Ben Henderson and the man he defeated for the title, Frankie Edgar. The books have Henderson coming in a slight favorite, standing at roughly -165 right now, with the comeback on Edgar sitting around +135. The first bout between them was competitive, and there is no reason to think this one won’t be either. There is also little reason to think that the outcome will be different.
This is the UFC’s biggest fight in August, and it is certainly a compelling match with a lot of potential. The first match was intriguing, and Edgar is certainly going to come in extra motivated to get back the belt he has won an defended multiple times already.
But against Henderson the first time, he looked mechanical, and he fought with the same game plan as his last handful of fights.
Though Edgar fought well the first time out, the fact remains that he never once hurt Henderson or had Henderson in trouble. He was never close to a finish and he did very little if any damage at all to the challenger, who looked to be bigger and stronger.
Edgar has been a very resilient champion, but I think with Henderson, we are going to see a better, more comfortable fighter in this second outing.
The UFC astutely believed that Edgar belongs at 145 lbs and that 155 lbs will eventually prove to be too big for him. He is stocky, and win or lose, he has taken a lot of facial damage in his last few fights.
And that is what I look for in this fight. I look for Henderson to mess Edgar’s face up. I look for him to be a lot more confident and aggressive in this match, and I look for Henderson to take Edgar out, perhaps by doctor’s stoppage, in the 3rd or 4th round. This one isn’t going the distance.