The UFC’s next big PPV event, UFC 154 is scheduled for November 17th in Montreal, Canada featuring a headliner of Georges St Pierre versus Carlos Condit for the UFC Welterweight title. On the card is another high level welterweight tilt between Martin Kampmann and Johny Hendrix. Both men are nearing top contender status, but the welterweights remain a division in flux and it is unclear if the winner will have earned a title shot or not.
Right now at the sportsbooks, the fight sits at nearly a pick ‘em, with Hendrix favored at -135 and the comeback on Kampmann at +105.
Hendrix has displayed big power in his punch, and a wrestler’s ability to control the pace of the fight, but Kampmann has shown a more complete game and has been able to neutralize wrestlers, most recently taking out Jake Ellenberger.
Kampmann will likely be the number one contender for the title should he win. This will be even more likely if Condit manages to take out St Pierre in the main event, as he owns a win over Condit already. If St Pierre wins, Kampmann will likely endure a sit and wait similar to long time Middleweight contender Michael Bisping.
Kampmann will have to survive Hendrix big punch, and he will have to work to dictate the pace of the match and wher eit takes place, but he should be capable of doing that.
Hendrix took out Fitch in 12 seconds with a punch, but was able to grind with wrestlers Josh Koscheck and Mike Pierce, coming out on top. His lone loss, to Rick Story, was another grinding affair, and Kampmann has more tools than Story to make things dangerous and tricky for Hendrix.
Hendrix is another of the bland personality types, while at least Kampmann brings the potential to be the UFC’s first European champion, which is a positive if ZUFFA can use it properly. This really won’t factor into the fight much, but the company probably wants Kampmann to win as well, as it opens up more options at the top of a crowded weight class.