The UFC on FUEL TV 7 card scheduled for London, England on February 16th features a Featherweight bout that could have future title ramifications – Dustin Poirier vs. Cub Swanson. Poirier is a replacement for Denis Siver, who was forced to pull out of the original fight with Swanson. Right now some of the books are showing Swanson as a -165 favorite, with the comeback for Poirier at +125.
On paper, the line seems to be about right, as Swanson is the more experienced of the two fighters and has a higher level of competition. Swanson has already been in the cage with Champion Jose Aldo, and top contenders Chad Mendes and Ricardo Lamas. the problem is Swanson has not broken through in the past, but just 29 years old and with an outstanding 18-5 overall record, he is considered to have room for potential improvement. He is riding a three fight winning treak that has seen him finish all three of his opponents and has seen his stock do nothing but rise in doing so.
Swanson was told when facing Siver that this was a number one contender match, with a potential future title shot at stake. This has to make the young man salivate, as Aldo landed a big knee eight seconds into their match, and a rematch is a huge motivation to Swanson.
Poirier is just 24 years old, and possesses an excellent 13-2 record. In May of 2012 he took a loss to Korean stud Chan Sung Jung, derailing a five fight winning streak and ending talk of him as an immediate contender. He got the Poirier buzz going again with a great submission finish of Johnathan Brookins this past December.
Poirier is a lanky southpaw, very much the opposite of the stocky Siver who was the original opponent. He is slick and well balaqnced in his ground and stand up game, and he has won several of the fighter bonuses for outstanding performances.
As most observers are saying, look for an explosive fight. swanson is the fighter entering his prime, and with his experience his fighting has appeared to progress. Poirier has a bright future, however it is fair to say he is not yet on Swanson’s level.
With the line where it is, unless you love Poirier, the oney goes on Swanson.