UFC on FX 5 Betting Picks: Jake Ellenberger vs Jay Hieron

Originally slated for the now infamous UFC 151 billing, a welterweight tilt between Jay Hieron and Jake Ellenberger now finds itself taking place this Friday, October 5, as the promotion takes over the Target Center in Minneapolis, Minnesota, for their fifth offering on FX.

Updated UFC on FX 5 betting lines can be found at BetDSI.

Jake Ellenberger (-345)
Jay Hieron (+275)

Ellenberger is a favorite to win the bout at -345. “The Juggernaut” is coming off of a TKO loss Martin Kampmann in June, but was on a six-fight run prior to that setback. The Ohio Wrestler defeated the likes of Ultimate Fighter winner Diego Sanchez and former Strikeforce and Elite XC champion Jake Shields in that time.

A longtime veteran of the sport, Hieron sits in the underdog position at +275. “The Thoroughbred” has not fought inside the octagon since 2005, yet has only been defeated once since 2007, in what proved to be a controversial split decision loss to Bellator Welterweight Champion Ben Askren. Hieron’s most recent run includes wins over the likes of Rick Hawn, Joe Riggs, and Jason High.

What many people fail to realize is that this is a rematch of a 2006 bout. While Hieron cruised to a decision victory in the IFL ring, Ellenberger was still green in those days. “The Juggernaut” has gained a lot of experience since and has proven to have developed power in both hands. While the Ohio wrestler did lose his most recent outing to Kampmann, he brutalized “The Hitman” in the first round of their bout. Realistically speaking, there aren’t many welterweights on the planet that could have survived that kind of beating and Hieron certainly is not one of them.

The fact remains that Hieron has slowed down a bit over the years, yet he still has the speed advantage over Ellenberger, who throws wide, lumbering strikes. The Xtreme Couture member’s chin is not what it once was, however, although it still certainly isn’t a major liability at this point in time.

While the cagy veteran can outpoint the wrestler, it is unlikely that he survives the requisite fifteen minutes to do so, given the one-shot power that the Reign MMA fighter possesses. While this isn’t a bout to bet the house on, Ellenberger is a solid pick to add to any parlay.

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