I recently heard that some sportsbooks are taking action on this potential superfight between 185 lb champion Anderson Silva and 205 lb champion Jon Jones, which really is not anywhere close to happening. Noted MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas also recently talked about potential opening odds on his MMA Oddsbreaker TV show. Check it out at the link below -
Now granted Kalikas had not put the full power of his incredible research into the odds, but off the top of his head he was considering opening the odds with Jones as a 3 to 1 favorite, or somewhere in that range. I’m not sure about that. Let’s look at this a little more closely.
I will start by saying that likely Jones should be a slight favorite going into the fight. Jones has been nothing but dominant, and he has been dominant against some pretty good competitors. He has some advantages, such as youth, and perhaps speed and reach, though only the ring will tell for sure.
Silva has been the dominant UFC force of the last five years. But very similar to the Fedor Emilianenko era, there will come a day that Anderson Silva’s reign will end, that he will be bested. And Jones could well be the fighter to do it.
But so far with Silva, though he is in his mid 30′s, we have not seen that slippage. He has been massively dominant, and he has dominated in his visits to the 205 lb division. People are talking about Forrest Griffin being burnt out nowadays. Griffin, a former 205 lb champion, was fried by Anderson Silva, who destroyed him. So the question of Jones being physically dominant over Silva remains.
Sure the playbook Chael Sonnen used against Silva exists, but aside from that bout Silva has really never been dominated. Jones has shown an unorthodox and dangerous stand up game, but it would be unwise to try to stand up with Anderson. So it’s going to come down to the Jones gameplan, something he does remarkably well.
One thing – if the UFC is going to contemplate this match, it needs to happen as soon as possible. Allowing father time to erode the skills of Silva further and putting him in against Jones would be bad. We need the best Silva possible for this bout. Even if it happens before the end of the year, Jones should be slightly favored. As I stated on MMA Oddsbreaker it has the feel of a pass the torch on type of fight.
So make the match at 205, and afterwards win or lose, bring Silva back to fight Sonnen at 185 lbs for that belt. This would be a fitting last two fights for Silva, who is a legend nearing the end of his career.