UFC: The Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale Is This Weekend!

UFC,Bet on UFC,UFC Ultimate Fighter 18 Finale,Nate Diaz,Gray Maynard

Gray Maynard (punching) will attempt to get his UFC career back on track this weekend with a match against Nate Diaz.

Up next for the UFC is the November 30th ‘TUF 18′ Finale event scheduled for Las Vegas with a headliner featuring the third encounter between Nate Diaz and Gray Maynard.  The card will also feature the finals of the reality show, with Davey Grant meeting Chris Holdsworth, and Julianna Pena still awaiting her finals opponent.  The card should also feature several matches that have not been announced yet, but with only 8 fights official, expect 4-5 more fights to be on the card come this weekend.  Let’s take a look at what we have right now, at the start of fight week.

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Gray Maynard desperately needs a win right now.  He is 1-2-1 in his last four UFC fights, and they have come over the span of three years, so he has not been particularly active.  By contrast, Diaz has fought seven times in the same time span, so Maynard needs a win to begin to establish some consistency.

Diaz needs the win for completely different reasons.  Diaz’ mindset is hard to get a read on at times, but he certainly will not want to go into the history books with a 1-2 record against Maynard.  Diaz is coming off the first stoppage loss of his life, and he has lost two in a row in the UFC.

Right now, the sport books have Maynard a slight favorite at (-145) with Diaz sitting at (+125).   Perhaps it is because he is a powerful fighter, and Diaz has been overpowered in his last two outings, or perhaps it is because a lot is still expected of Maynard.

After the Frankie Edgar loss, Maynard’s stock was still high and a great deal was expected of him, and he came out and laid an egg against Clay Guida, winning a nondescript decision over ‘The Carpenter’ in a match that Guida gets most of the criticism for.   But following that, he was absolutely run over by the surging TJ Grant, and showed nothing.

I like Diaz, who is backed into a corner here.

 

About Miguel

MMA matchmaker since 1997. No one besides Joe Silva has made more fights than me.
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