Tonite, the UFC on FX 5 event goes down in Minneapolis, Minnesota featuring a heavyweight main event between Antonio ‘Bigfoot’ Silva and Travis Browne. Though we have talked about the matchup before, the books are closing with Browne as a -225 favorite, with the comeback on Silva hovering around +185. Fans of the underdog may see value in Silva, and I have long been a fan of his, but this may be the wrong time to bet ‘Bigfoot’. Or maybe not. Let’s take a look at the match.
At yesterday’s weigh ins, Antonio Silva came in at the limit of 266 lbs, and will likely be at least 10 to 15 lbs heavier come fight time. For his part, Browne weighed in at 246 lbs, so Browne will likely be giving up a minimum of 30 lbs to Silva.
In his last few fights, SIlva has faced Daniel Cormier and Cain Velasquez. He could not go into those fights and rely on the takedown, not against wrestlers of that caliber, so he was forced to fight from his back or stand and strike, neither of which are his strong suits.
Browne is a slugger who is not really known for his wrestling, but he is going to have to stay up in this fight. Silva is going to probably look to do a ground and pound attack from top position.
Another X factor in the fight is the five rounds caused by the main event. Neither guy has five rounders on his resume, so it will be interesting to see who gases first. They are heavyweights, so if the fight extends itself into the later rounds, look for both men to be piss tired.
It could be a fight with ebbs and flows if it goes long, with potentially Browne having to weather a storm in the early rounds. But can Silva get the takedowns he will need later on in the match?
Silva can be very intense, and his stare down showed it at the weigh ins. Browne however, seems to be a cool customer, and he did not look intimidated. Browne also knows to keep moving up in the rankings of the heavyweight division, he needs a win, and probably needs and impressive win. He must take advantage of a ‘Bigfoot’ Silva who is slowing down and absorbed punishment in his recent fights.
Though I was looking at Browne on this one, I may stay away betting wise and just enjoy the fight! It should be a good one.